J.P. Morgan Private Bank

AI Could Suppress Demand Before Productivity Gains Are Felt

Original Published: February 20, 2026

🎯 Impact Sentiment: Concerning

đź“‹ Summary

  • The article warns that the spread of AI could reduce overall economic demand before any meaningful productivity benefits materialize for workers.
  • There’s heightened risk of widespread job displacement as companies adopt AI faster than markets or society are ready for.
  • Labor markets may face pressure as firms automate roles before creating enough new jobs or industries to replace them.
  • The anticipated AI-driven productivity boom could take longer to show up, leaving workers and economies in a vulnerable transition period.

đź’ˇ JR Insights

  • đź’Ľ Implication: If you’re working in a field that can be automated, job security isn’t guaranteed in the near future. This wave of AI adoption favors efficiency and cost reduction over immediate job creation, so expect more layoffs or restructured roles before seeing clear growth opportunities.
  • 🚨 Risk: Workers in routine and knowledge-based roles are especially exposed—there’s a real possibility of a “job gap” where roles vanish before new ones are created. This could mean longer job searches, increased competition, and more pressure to reskill.
  • ✨ Takeaway: Don’t count on AI to immediately create a wave of new jobs or boost wages. Now’s the time to actively prepare—pick up skills that complement AI instead of competing with it, and aim for industries less vulnerable to quick automation cycles.

Read the Original Article

View the full article on J.P. Morgan Private Bank

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